Elite Overproduction

December 11, 2017

‘In Peter Turchin’s research, two of the big factors that predict the fall of a civilization are rising debt and declining or stagnating living standards of the masses. The new Republican tax bill pushes us in the wrong direction on both counts.’

-Jonathan Haidt

[Haidt is a social psychologist at NYU-Stern, and author of The Righteous Mind, reflections on how social & moral psychology can improve companies, universities,and societies.]

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Peter Turchin: Entering the Age of Instability after Trump

 

Why social instability and political violence is predicted to peak in the 2020s

The presidential election which we have experienced, unfortunately, confirms this forecast. We seem to be well on track for the 2020s instability peak. And although the election is over, the deep structural forces that brought us the current political crisis have not gone away. If anything, the negative trends seem to be accelerating.

Full article: http://evonomics.com/science-predicting-rise-fall-societies-turchin/